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HIV Medicine 2007 818 pages Download PDF, 3.7 MB Collaborators About Other Languages 2007 Portuguese 2005 Russian Spanisch 2003 Persian (Farsi) Copyright Removal Mailing List Privacy
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HIV Therapy 2007 back 5.4. Therapeutic Goals by Christian Hoffmann and Fiona Mulcahy
This means, that it is equally important to not only prevent opportunistic infections and malignancies, but also to minimize the side effects of therapy. Ideally, antiretroviral treatment should have as little influence as possible on daily life. Even if a high CD4 cell count and a low viral load are useful therapeutic goals, the patient's condition is at least as significant as the laboratory results! Patients, too, often lose focus on what really matters. The response to the doctor's query: "How are you?" is often accompanied by a glance toward the CD4 count result on the chart: "That's what I'd like you to tell me!" It may therefore be useful for both patient and physician to reflect during the good times upon what one realistically aims to achieve. Treatment aimed only at improving laboratory values with little emphasis on the physical and mental well being of the patient cannot be successful. The patient has to be treated, not the viral load.
Success and failure of treatment
Success and failure of treatment can be evaluated using virological, immunological or clinical
criteria. Although they are often associated with each other, they should be judged separately.
The earliest indicator is virological success or failure. This mainly means decrease, absence of
decrease, or increase in viral load. This is followed, often a little later, by immunological
treatment success, measured through the CD4 cells, or immunological treatment failure. Clinical
treatment failure, if it occurs, usually only becomes apparent much later - first the lab values
deteriorate, then the patient! Although the incidence of opportunistic infections after only three
months on HAART is approximately halved, the clinical treatment success is not noticed by
asymptomatic patients (Ledergerber 1999).
Virological treatment success and failure
Virological treatment success is generally a decrease in viral load to below the level of detection
of 50 copies/ml. This is based on the experience that, the more rapid and greater the decrease in
viral load, the longer the therapeutic effect (Kempf 1998, Powderly 1999).
In as early as the INCAS Trial, the relative risk of treatment failure (defined here as an increase
to above 5,000 copies/ml) in patients who had reached a viral load below 20 copies/ml was 20 times
lower than in those who had never reached a level under 400 copies/ml (Raboud 1998). It is not
completely clear whether the data obtained from the early HAART era are still valid.
On HAART, viral load declines in two phases. An initial, very rapid decrease in the first few weeks
is followed by a slower phase, in which plasma viremia declines only slowly. A decay to below the
level of detection should be reached after 3-4 months; in cases of very high baseline viral load, it
may even take longer. However, a viral load above the level of detection after 6 months of treatment
is almost always seen as failure. The same is true if a rebound in viral load is confirmed, in which
- following fast confirmation - it should be considered what can be improved in the therapy
(resorption, resistance, compliance?).
Virological treatment failure can be recognized quite early - therefore, initial monitoring even
after four weeks is useful not only to the patient for psychological reasons ("less viruses, more
helper cells"). If the viral load after 4 weeks is not at least substantially less than 5,000
copies/ml, failure of therapy is likely later (Maggiolo 2000). Of those patients, in whom the viral
load is not below 500 copies/ml after 8 weeks or at least one log lower than baseline, only 9 % will
reach less than 500 copies/ml at 24 weeks (Demeter 2001). According to a new prospective study, the
response at 48 weeks can be predicted as early as 7 days (Haubrich 2007) - a control so early on is
not part of the routine management.
The cut-off point of 50 copies/ml as the success criterion is arbitrary. It is based on the
currently available assays for measurement of viral load. Whether 60 copies/ml are worse than 30
copies/ml indicating successful treatment is as yet not proven. At these low levels, methodological
inaccuracies must also be considered. A single viral load rebound ("blip") to low levels is often
irrelevant (see below). However, to distinguish them, blips are from lower, but still measurable
viral loads (50-400 copies/ml). Resistances are frequently detectable in these patients - in one
study this was so in 43 % of cases (Nettles 2004).
A viral load "below the level of detection" of 50 copies/ml means just that - no more, no less. Even
so, numerous studies indicate that replication and therefore development of resistance can continue
with an undetectable virus load. 50 viral copies/ml indicate that 5 liters of blood contain 250,000
viruses; in addition, even more actively replicating viruses are present in the lymphatic organs.
Theoretically, a measurable viremia, even at very low levels, may possibly translate to a higher
risk of resistance in the long-term. Perhaps there is indeed a relevant difference between 100 and
10 copies/ml with regard to the risk of developing resistance. But we just don't know yet.
The most important risk factors for virological treatment failure are antiretroviral treatment
(pre-existing resistances) and poor compliance (review: Deeks 2000). It has still not been proven
whether the CD4-cell count at the start of therapy plays an important role. In several cohorts, no
association has been found (Cozzi Lepri 2001, Phillips 2001, Le Moing 2002). See also the discussion
in the chapter "When to start HAART".
Many other factors that influence the success of therapy probably remain unknown. Pharmacogenetics
is a new field, which, although still in the early phases, is starting to gain importance. It
investigates individual genetic factors which influence the success of therapy. Until now, most
factors that have been uncovered have predicted intolerance or allergies to, for example, abacavir
or nevirapine (see relevant section). But one day, tests will be available that will help
antiretroviral therapy to be individualized and the success of therapy to be improved. These will
range from individual dosing to tests, which predict results - eg. the CCR5 antagonists (Review:
Haas 2006).
For the time being, the good news is: morbidity and mortality may be lowered significantly even if
the virological success is not complete, i.e., the viral load is not decreased below the level of
detection (Mezzaroma 1999, Deeks 2000, Grabar 2000). This is important in patients who have a
limited number of treatment options. In such cases, it can sometimes be more sensible to temporarily
abandon viral load as a measure of success (see also chapter on "Salvage Therapy"); and to make the
stabilization of the CD4 cells the top priority. Patients often remain immunologically stable for
relatively long periods of time, even with insufficient viral suppression. A cohort study has shown
that CD4 cells do not drop as long as the viral load remains below 10,000 copies/ml or at least 1.5
logs below the individual set point (Lederberger 2004).
However, in comparison to a few years previously, more has become possible through new drugs and
classes of drugs. In the age of T-20, tipranavir, darunavir, etravirine, maraviroc and raltegravir a
repeat attempt should be made to reduce the viral load to below the level of detection, even in
intensively pre-treated patients.
How long does virological treatment success last?
Little is known about how long treatments remain effective. The rumor that treatment success is
limited to only a few years is still widespread. It originates from the early years of HAART.
However, many patients at the time were still inadequately treated or had been pretreated with mono-
or dual therapy, and had thus developed extensive resistance. In such patients, the effect of
treatment was often limited, as even a single point mutation was often enough to topple a whole
regimen. Today, especially in therapy-naïve patients without pre-existing mutations, the risk of
treatment failure is much less.
After ten years of HAART, a surprisingly high number of patients still have viral loads below the
level of detection. This is particularly true for patients who were adequately treated from the
start, as judged by today's standards (starting with triple therapy and/or rapid switching of
several drugs). One of the few trials with a longer follow-up period studied 336
antiretroviral-na?ve patients who had reached a viral load below 50 copies/ml within 24 weeks
(Phillips 2001). After 3.3 years, the risk of viral rebound seemed at first glance to be relatively
high at 25.3 %. More detailed analysis showed that a large proportion of the patients experiencing
viral rebound had actually interrupted HAART. True virological failure was only seen in 14 patients,
which corresponds to a risk of 5.2 % after 3.3 years. Most importantly, the risk of virological
failure decreased significantly with time. In the Phase II M97-720 Study, in which 100 patients were
originally treated with d4T+3TC+lopinavir/r, 62 % still had less than 50 copies/ml after six years
in the ITT analysis, compared to 98 % in the On-Treatment-Analysis (Gulick 2004). Real virological
failure was very rare. In the Merck 035 subanalysis, patients on AZT+3TC+indinavir were also
followed for six years. In the last ITT analysis, 58 % were still below the level of detection,
despite the fact that these patients had been pre-treated with nucleoside analogs (Gulick 2003).
These studies clearly show that, providing treatment is not interrupted, viral load may remain below
the level of detection for many years, perhaps even decades. Resistances are by no means
unavoidable. This has been confirmed by cohort studies, in which virological treatment failure has
become significantly less in the last few years (Lohase 2005, Lampe 2006). HAART is getting better
and better. In 1996, only 58 % of patients had a viral load of less than 500 copies/ml; in 2003, it
was 83 % (May 2006).
"Blips" - Do they mean virological failure?
Blips are thought to be transient and, almost always, small increases in viral load, so long as the
viral load before and after the blip was below the borderline value of 50 copies/ml. At least three
measurements of viral load are therefore required to be able to identify a blip. Blips are a
frequent phenomenon of HIV patients on HAART and are observed in 20-40 % of patients on HAART
(Sungkanuparph 2005). Blips often worry both patients and clinicians: do they signal treatment
failure?
Although studies indicate that this is not the case in the medium term (Havlir 2001, Moore 2002,
Sklar 2002, Mira 2003, Sungkanuparph 2005), the causes of blips have, to a large extent, not been
investigated. There has been no association found with compliance. (Di Mascio 2003, Miller 2004). It
is possible that blips are the result of immunological mechanisms. The earlier patients are treated
in the course of infection, i.e., the higher the CD4 cell count at the start of therapy, the more
seldom blips seem to occur (Di Mascio 2003+2004, Sungkanuparph 2005). There does not appear to be
any association with particular antiretroviral combinations - in a large cohort (Sungkanuparph
2005), the frequency of blips on NNRTIs was 34 versus 33 % on PIs, and even the size of the blips
were equivalent (median 140 and 144 copies/ml respectively). In both groups, the risk of virological
failure at 2 years was approximately 8 %. One important observation was that the blips did not
increase the risk of treatment failure, even with NNRTIs (Martinez 2005).
At the beginning of 2005, the study team led by Bob Siciliano set out to determine the meaning of
"blips". In a labor-intensive study, 10 stalwart patients who had had a viral load of less than 50
copies/ml for at least six months, had blood samples taken every 2-3 days (!) over a period of 3-4
months (Nettles 2005). The obvious result: the more you look, the more you will find. During the
observation time, at least one transient increase in the viral load was measurable above 50
copies/ml, in nine of the ten patients. Each blip was moderate, with a median value of 79 copies/ml,
ranging from 51 to 201 copies/ml. The blips could not be associated with either specific clinical
data, low plasma levels, or resistances. This observation led the authors to believe, that blips
(with low, measurable values) mainly represent biological or statistical exceptions, and are not
associatedwith treatment failure. In an estimated steady state level of viral load at around 20
copies/ml, the values are distributed randomly. However, 96 % of the randomly distributed
measurements were less than 200 copies/ml.
It should be noted that other factors may also be responsible for intermittent viremia. In one
large, retrospective analysis, 26 % were caused by intercurrent infections (Easterbrook 2002). For
example, syphilis can cause a significant increase in viral load and reduction of CD4 cells (Buchacz
2004). Viral load can also increase temporarily after immunizations (Kolber 2002).
Summary: Based on available data, HAART should not be changed, even after repetitive blips. However,
caution should be executed for higher blips (> 200-500 copies/ml). Blips are distinguishable from
low, repetitive, measurable plasma viremias, in that the risk of resistance is actually increased
(Gunthard 1998, Nettlers 2004). Although there does not seem to be a relationship to compliance or
drug levels, blips should raise the opportunity to talk to the patient about the subject of
adherence. Compliance cannot be discussed often enough. Does the patient take his or her drugs
regularly, or are doses occasionally missed? Are the dosing directions (on an empty stomach or with
a meal) followed correctly?
Everything should be considered before changing a therapy. Each new therapy can cause new problems.
Therefore, every suspected increase in the viral load should be controlled within a short interval,
before treatment is prematurely changed.
Immunological treatment failure and success
Immunological treatment success is an increase in the CD4 cells - it is not defined more precisely.
Depending on the study, increases by 50, 100 or 200 CD4 cells/µl or increases to above 200 or 500
CD4 cells/µl are defined as success. Failure is usually described as the absence of an increase or
as a decrease in the CD4 count in patients receiving HAART.
It is difficult to individually predict the immunological success of therapy for patients on HAART,
as it varies significantly from one person to another. As with the decrease in viral load, the
increase in CD4 count also occurs in two phases. After a first, usually rapid increase over the
first three to four months, further increases are considerably less pronounced. In a prospective
study involving some 1,000 patients, the CD4-cell count increased during the first three months by a
median of 21.2 CD4 cells/µl per month; in the following months the increase was only 5.5 CD4
cells/µl (Le Moing 2002). It is still under debate whether the immune system is restored
continuously after a long period of viral suppression or whether a plateau is reached after three to
four years (Smith 2004, Viard 2004). In our experience, both occurs: patients with CD4 cells that
still increase only slowly after 5 or 6 years, and patients whose CD4 cells remain at relatively low
level after just a relatively short period of time. The immunological success is not predictable in
individual cases.
However, the lower the CD4 cell count at baseline, the less likely they are to normalize completely
(Valdez 2002, Kaufmann 2003+2005). The immune system often does not recover completely. In the Swiss
Cohort, only 39 % of 2,235 patients who had begun HAART in 1996-97 reached a CD4-cell count above
500/µl (Kaufmann 2003, see also below). The introduction of treatment within the first 3-6 months
possibly provides certain clues as to how well the immune system will be restored (Kaufmann 2005).
Immunological treatment success is not necessarily linked to maximal viral suppression; even partial
suppression can result in improved CD4-cell count (Kaufmann 1998, Mezzaroma 1999, Ledergerber 2004).
The initial level of viral load is also not significant; what seems to be decisive is that the viral
load remains lower than before treatment (Deeks 2002, Ledergerber 2004). In view of the many factors
that occur, which are able to influence the success of therapy as well as the individual
regeneration capacity (independent of HAART), it no longer makes sense to depend on the CD4-cell
count as the deciding criterion for the success of HAART. Virological success is more appropriate
for judging the efficacy of specific regimens.
Discordant response
A discordant response occurs when the therapeutic goals - clinical, immunological and virological -
cannot all be achieved (see Table 4.1 for frequencies). So, the treatment may be virologically
successful, with no visible immunological response; with the CD4 cells remaining on the low side
despite undetectable viral load (Piketty 1998, Renaud 1999, Gabrar 2000, Piketty 2001). In contrast,
a HAART regimen can bring about a considerable increase in CD4 cells, even when the viral load is
detectable. This is sometimes seen in children (see Pediatric chapter).
Table 4.1: Treatment success in prospective cohort studies
Response to HAART Piketty 2001
n = 150 Grabar 2000
n = 2,236 Moore 2005
n = 1,527
Virological and immunological 60 % 48 % 56 %
Discordant: only immunological 19 % 19 % 12 %
Discordant: only virological 9 % 17 % 15 %
No treatment response 12 % 16 % 17 %
Definition of immunological success: increase in CD4 cells > 100/µl after 30 months (Piketty 2001)
or > 50/µl after 6 months (Grabar 2000) or at least once > 50/µl (Moore 2005)
Definition of virological success: continually > 1 log less than baseline or < 500 copies/ ml
(Piketty 2001) or < 1,000 (Grabar 2000) or < 500 copies/ml (Moore 2005)
The reasons for the poor immunological treatment success despite good viral suppression are
heterogeneous (Review: Aiuti 2006).
Low CD4 cells at baseline as well as low viral load before the start of therapy are just two of many
factors (Florence 2003, Kaufmann 2005, Moore 2005, Wolbers 2007). Age also plays an important role:
in older patients, immunological response is often only moderate in comparison to virological
response. Several studies demonstrated that the probability of not achieving a rise in the CD4-cell
count increases with patient age and with progressive decrease in thymus size as detected by
computed tomography (Goetz 2001, Marimoutou 2001, Piketty 2001, Teixera 2001, Viard 2001, Wolbers
2007). Patients who are intravenous drug users also have relatively poor increases in CD4 cells
(Dragstedt 2004). In the Swiss cohort, the CD4 cells increased more in women than in men (Wolbers
2007).
Other causes for a lack of immunological response may be immuno- or myelosuppressive concomitant
therapies. We have seen patients, who have had a suppressed viral load below 50 CD4 cells/µl for
years, who only experience significant immunological reconstitution when gancyclovir, cotrimoxazole
or azathioprine are withdrawn. Concurrent illnesses such as various autoimmune diseases (Crohn's
disease, Lupus erythmatosis) or liver cirrhosis can also have negative effects on the immune
response.
There is also evidence that certain antiretroviral drugs have negative effects on immune
reconstitution. On a combination of TDF+ddI (plus nevirapine) significant decreases in CD4 cells
occur (Negredo 2004). The reason may lie in an unfavorable interaction between ddI and tenofovir. In
two other studies, the CD4 cells increased significantly more on ABC+3TC, as well as on TDF+FTC,
than on AZT+3TC, despite comparable virological success. However, it remains to be shown whether
this is really a problem of myelotoxicity of AZT or a pure coincidence (DeJesus 2004, Pozniak 2006).
Practical considerations in dealing with viral load and CD4 cells
§ Viral load is the most important parameter in treatment monitoring.
§ If possible, use only one type of assay (in the same lab) - bear in mind that there is
considerable methodological variability (up to half a log)!
§ Virological success should be monitored one month after initiation or modification of HAART.
§ Viral load should be below 50 copies/ml after 3-4 months (with high initial viral load, after 6
months at the latest) - if it is not, look for a cause!
§ The greater the decrease in viral load, the more durable the response to treatment.
§ Transient, low-level increases in viral load (blips) are usually insignificant - but VL should be
monitored at short intervals (e.g. 2-4 weeks after such blips).
§ The older the patient, the greater the risk of a discordant response (well-suppressed viral load
with no significant increase in CD4 count).
§ In contrast to viral load, increase in CD4 cells, i.e. immunological success, is difficult to
influence.
§ CD4 cells are probably better predictors of the individual risk of AIDS.
§ Once CD4 count is good, it requires less frequent monitoring. Remember that with higher CD4
counts, values may vary considerably from one measurement to the next (which may mislead the patient
to either a false sense of euphoria or unnecessary concern).
Clinical treatment success and failure
Clinical success is almost always evaluated on the reduction of clinical endpoints (AIDS-defining
illnesses, death), although the improvement on HAART in a patient with considerable constitutional
symptoms should also be seen as clinical success.
Clinical treatment success is not always easy to measure and is dependent on both virological and
immunological treatment success.
Table 4.2: Morbidity and Mortality, based on virological or immunological treatment success.
Definition see Table 4.1. 95 % confidence intervals are shown in parentheses
Grabar 2000 Piketty 2001 Moore 2005
CD4 cells at baseline* 150 73 180-250
Treatment success:
Complete = Reference 1 1 1
Only immunological, RR 1.6 (1.0-2.5) 6.5 (1.2-35.8) 1.9 (1.1-3.0)
Only virological, RR 2.0 (1.3-3.1) 9.7 (1.6-58.4) 2.5 (1.5-4.0)
None, RR 3.4 (2.3-5.0) 51.0 (11.3-229.8) 3.5 (2.3-5.3)
RR = relative risk *median.
Clinical endpoint: progression/death (Grabar 2000, Piketty 2001), death (Moore 2005).
In the Swiss cohort, out of those with a constantly undetectable viral load, the proportion of
patients developing AIDS or dying was 6.6 % after 30 months. In contrast, this proportion was 9.0 %
in patients with viral rebound and even 20.1 % if the viral load was never suppressed to
undetectable levels (Ledergerber 1999). The importance of sustained virological treatment success
for clinical success has also been reported by other cohorts (Salzberger 1999, Thiebaud 2000).
Clinical failure is usually defined as the development of an AIDS-associated condition or even
death. Clinical failure, arising from a failing HAART regimen, has to be distinguished from clinical
failure that can ascribed to simply starting HAART too late. This is particularly true, for example
in immune reconstitution inflammatory syndrome (IRIS), where pre-existing, subclinical infections
manifest themselves during the first weeks following initiation of antiretroviral therapy (see
"AIDS" chapter). An OI in the presence of increasing CD4 cells does not necessarily indicate failure
of HAART, but rather, simply put, that the immune system starts working again.
On the other hand, if a patient develops serious side effects or even dies, this should clearly be
regarded as treatment failure. Luckily, this is rare. It should be noted that there might also be
other causes. Many severe, life-threatening events that affect HIV infected patients on HAART today
are associated neither with HAART nor AIDS (Reisler 2003).
What can be achieved?
Every HIV clinician sees the remarkable strides made possible by HAART reflected in his or her own
patients (see example below). In many areas, the incidence of AIDS has been reduced to less than a
tenth (Mocroft 2000). Some illnesses that occur only with severe immunodeficiencies are rarely seen
today. CMV retinitis or MAC disease have become unusual.
Table 4.3: Patient case (female, 41 years) illustrating the success of HAART*
CD4+ T-cells Viral load
Feb 95 AZT+ddC 23 (4 %) NA
Nov 96 AIDS: Toxoplasmosis, MAC, Candida esophagitis 12 (1 %) 815,000
Feb 97 d4T+3TC+SQV 35 (8 %) 500
June 97 Treatment interruption due to polyneuropathy
July 97 AZT+3TC+IDV 17 (4 %) 141,000
Mar 98 147 (22 %) < 50
Mar 99 AZT+3TC+IDV/r+NVP 558 (24 %) 100
Mar 00 942 (31 %) < 50
Apr 05 AZT+3TC+LPV/r+NVP 744 (30 %) 130
Jan 07 712 (38 %) < 50
* Excellent immune reconstitution despite initial severe immunodeficiency and several AIDS-defining
illnesses. All prophylaxis (MAC, Toxoplasmosis, PCP) has now been discontinued.
Today, AIDS cases occur mainly in patients who are not being treated with antiretroviral therapy -
usually because they are unaware of their infection or do not want to acknowledge it. These
so-called "late presenters" now make up a large proportion of AIDS cases. In patients who are
continuously followed in specialized centers, AIDS has become a rare occurrence.
The mortality rate has continued to decline over time (Mocroft 2002).
In an investigation on 3,990 HIV patients in Denmark, compared with 380,000 individuals from the
non-infected population, the average increase in life expectancy increased in a 25-year old HIV
patient from 19.9 years between 1995-1999 to 32.5 years between 2000-2005; this increased to 38.9
years when patients with HCV were excluded, which was fairly close to the 51.1 years of the normal
population (Lohse 2007).
Data from prospective, controlled studies on this dramatic change is still limited, however. So far,
there have been few randomized trials with clinical endpoints (Hammer 1997, Cameron 1998, Stellbrink
2000).
The success of these studies was comparatively unassuming from a design point of view. In the
ABT-247 trial, in which 1,090 clinically advanced patients received ritonavir liquid formulation or
placebo in addition to their ongoing treatment, the probability of AIDS and death in the ritonavir
arm after 29 weeks was 21.9 % and 37.5 % in the placebo arm (Cameron 1998).
Because studies of mono- or dual therapy are no longer ethically justifiable and the number of
clinical endpoints that occur is now extremely low, controlled prospective trials, in which the
clinical superiority of the treatment should be proven, simply last too long these days.
Unrealistically large study populations would also now be required given the extremely low
probability of progression, and therefore, such investigations will only rarely be undertaken in the
future (Raffi 2001). One of the few to have underpinned the value of HAART on the basis of clinical
endpoints is the SMART study (see chapter on treatment interruptions).
Due to the lack of randomized studies, data from the large cohorts, such as Euro-SIDA, the Swiss
cohort, and the American HOPS cohort, have to be relied upon to document the decline in AIDS
mortality (see Table 4.4).
Table 4.4: Decline in morbidity and mortality in large cohorts
Where? (n) Patients (Period) Mortality
(/100 PY) Morbidity
(/100 PY)
Palella
1998 USA (1255) < 100 CD4+ T-cells/µl
(1/94-6/97) 29.4 ® 8.8 21.9 ® 3.7*
Ledergerber 1999 Switzerland (2410) 6 months before versus 3 months after HAART (9/95-12/97)
NA 15.1 ® 7.7
Mocroft
2000 Europe (7331) All (94-98) NA 30.7 ® 2.5
Mocroft
2002 Europe (8556) All (94-01) 15.6 ® 2.7 NA
D'Arminio 2005 Worldwide (12,574) The first 3 months after versus 3 years after HAART NA 12.9 ®
1.3
* MAC, PCP, CMV. Mortality/Morbidity each per 100 py = patient years
In the Swiss cohort, the effect of HAART increases over time - after more than two years on HAART,
the risk of progression was only 4 % of the risk without HAART (Sterne 2005). However, a completely
new analysis of several large cohorts (with over 20,000 patients) showed that in the recent years,
the rates of AIDS and mortality have not decreased further - in 1997 as well as in 2003, the risk of
AIDS was around 6 %. HAART is possibly being started too late in many cases. In the last few years,
every second patient had just 200 CD4 cells at the start of treatment (May 2006).
The effect of HAART on the incidence of individual AIDS diseases is probably different: the most
obvious is the decline of viral OIs, although this is not so pronounced for fungal OIs (D'Arminio
2005).
The effect of HAART is equally as apparent on the clinical course as it is on the incidence.
Illnesses such as cryptosporidiosis or PML can be cured, while Kaposi's sarcoma can resolve
completely without specific therapy. Prophylaxis of pneumocystis pneumonia, toxoplasmic
encephalitis, CMV, or MAC infection can usually be safely withdrawn. These effects are discussed in
more detail in the corresponding chapters.
Treatment aim: Cure
In a chapter on the aims of therapy, the possibility of a cure also has to be discussed. Whoever
speaks of cure will eventually achieve it. Following the success of antiretroviral therapies in the
last 20 years, which help most patients to control infection for decades, many now believe that the
next 20 years should concentrate on cure as the main aim of therapy.
What is cure?
One important question is whether complete eradication is necessary for a cure. Does the last virus
actually have to be removed from the body? Cure could also mean that the body is able to control the
infection without the help of medication - analogous to other infections, such as herpes simplex or
varicella zoster, in which only small amounts of the virus persist. A very few HIV patients, the
so-called "elite controllers" have already succeeded in this. These patients, a few of which are
found in every large centre, have normal CD4 cells for many years, and even more impressively, a
viral load that remains below the level of detection of normal assays without antiretroviral therapy
(Table 4.5). Only when the lymph nodes are examined with ultrasensitive methods, can the virus be
detected in comparatively minute amounts. What makes the HIV-specific immune response of these
patients so effective; what makes the virus in these people so "unfit"; which genetic changes are
responsible? These questions are currently occupying many leading working groups worldwide.
Table 4.5: Example of an "elite controller" from our clinic
Date (HA)ART CD4 cells Viral load
04/03 Acute HIV infection (Western blot: 5 bands) 203 (8 %) > 1 Mill
04/03 Start with ART (AZT+3TC+IDV/r) 412 (12 %) > 1 Mill
06/03 702 (51 %) 2,000
01/04 ART stopped after 8 months 838 (52 %) < 50
06/04 467 (46 %) < 25
05/05 1,288 (51 %) 44
01/07 Three years without antiviral therapy 841 (44 %) < 25
Comment: It is unclear whether HAART had an effect during the acute infection. Such courses are also
seen without treatment. In some cases, different VL tests were used. Notable are the initial very
low and later very high percentages of CD4 cells.
The problem with latent reservoirs
At this point in time, eradication of HIV in the sense of a cure is still unrealistic. The main
problem lies in the pool of latently HIV-infected cells, which probably comprise a lifelong
reservoir (review: Saksena 2003). Even after years of sufficient viral suppression to below 20-50
copies/ml, cellular viral transcription still takes place in these cells (Finzi 1999, Furtado 1999,
Zhang 1999, Sharkey 2000). This is particularly true for blood cells, but also applies to lymph
nodes and sperm (Lafeuillade 2001, Nunnari 2002). Replication probably also takes place in the cells
of the gastrointestinal tract long after there is no trace left in the blood.
How long does it take for the last latently infected cells to be removed? In a study on 62 patients,
whose viral load had been successfully suppressed on HAART for seven years, a half-life of 44.2
months was calculated for the latently infected reservoir (Siciliano 2003). The calculated time to
eradication of these reservoirs was 73.4 years. Even in a highly selected group of patients, without
even a single viral blip measured during a minimum of three years of stable HAART, and with an
overall trend for a slightly more rapid decrease in infected cells, the time to eradication was 51.2
years.
Latently infected reservoirs consist of very heterogeneous cell populations, the stability of which
is probably even independent of residual viral replication. Therefore, even complete inhibition of
viral replication would probably be insufficient to eradicate HIV (Strain 2004).
Different methods have been used in the last few years to attempt to flush out these latent
reservoirs (IL-2, hydroxyurea or OKT), but all have failed (Kulkosky 2002, Pomerantz 2002). In
summer 2005, a pilot study on valproic acid, an antiepileptic treatment used worldwide, caused a
stir as they discovered that valproic acid, an inhibitor of histon deacetylase-1 (HDAC1), caused a
release of HIV from dormant T cells (Lehrman 2005). In three out of four HIV patients, the number of
infected dormant T cells decreased significantly, and the half-life sank to 2-3 months -much less in
comparison to other studies, which have reported 44.2 months under classical HAART (Siciliano 2003).
Summary: based on the currently available medication, eradication is still not possible. Washing out
the reservoirs, or simply eliminating all infected memory cells is either unsuccessful, too toxic or
much too dangerous. It remains to be seen whether valproic acid or other immune therapies given in
addition to HAART, will provide a perspective. Due to the complexity of the immune system, which is
only gradually beginning to be understood, a solution seems to be a long way off.
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